Stock Valuation / COST
Is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Overvalued? Fair Value & 5-Year Target
Costco Wholesale Corporation trades at $954.63 (P/E 45.98). Our reference model estimates a fair value of $644.75 at its recent average P/E of 31.06.
| Current price | $954.63 |
|---|---|
| Current EPS | $20.76 |
| Current P/E | 45.98 |
| Average P/E | 31.06 |
| Fair value (at avg P/E) | $644.75 |
| Upside to fair value | -32.5% |
| Illustrative 5-yr target (25× P/E, 15% growth) | $1,043.89 |
What drives COST's valuation
Changing either assumption moves the target: a higher P/E multiple or faster EPS growth raises fair value, a lower multiple or slower growth lowers it. The interactive dashboard lets you edit both and re-run the model instantly.
About Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Sweden, Iceland, and New Zealand. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising consumer electronics, appliances, small electrics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce,
Frequently asked questions
What is COST's fair value?
At its recent average P/E of 31.06, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) has a reference fair value of about $644.75, which is -32.5% versus the current price of $954.63.
Is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) overvalued or undervalued?
Based on the average-P/E reference model, Costco Wholesale Corporation looks overvalued relative to fair value by roughly +32.5%. This is a model output, not investment advice — change the P/E and growth assumptions in the dashboard for your own view.
What is a 5-year price target for COST?
Under an illustrative model of 25× P/E and 15% annual EPS growth, the implied 5-year target is $1,043.89. Adjust both inputs on the interactive page to match your assumptions.
Open the interactive COST valuation dashboard →
Figures are for informational purposes only and are not investment advice. Data as of 2026-10-14.